The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for September to November 2023 are now available. These include:
- 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlooks
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Heat Outlook
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Drought Outlook
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
Summary for the upcoming 3-month period, September to November 2023: “Pacific and Atlantic ocean temperatures should remain well above average, continuing to amplify heat stress in the Caribbean through October by increasing temperatures, humidity and heatwave frequency to rival some of the warmest heat seasons on record (e.g., in 2020). A moderate to strong El Niño in the Pacific should dampen rainfall frequency and tropical cyclone intensity in Belize and the islands and lead to more short-term dry spells than usual. By contrast, record-warm Atlantic waters are to increase showers intensity, leading to limited drought concern, but a particularly high potential for flooding and cascading hazards. In the Guianas, the hot and dry season will likely be intense.”