The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for October to December 2023 are now available. These include:
- 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlooks
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Heat Outlook
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Drought Outlook
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
Summary for the upcoming 3-month period, October to December 2023: “North Atlantic temperatures should remain well above average, continuing to (1) fuel unusually strong tropical cyclone activity; (2) amplify heat stress through October with higher temperatures, humidity and heatwave frequency — fueling a record-breaking Caribbean Heat Season; and (3) increase shower intensity during the peak of the Wet Season, leading to a high potential for flooding and cascading hazards. However, a moderate to strong El Niño in the Pacific should dampen rainfall frequency in Belize and the southern Caribbean, where drought concerns arise. Heat and drought are a growing concern in the coastal Guianas, as is flood potential through December.”