CariCOF Caribbean Climate Outlooks: October 2022

The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for October to December are now available. These include:

• Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
• Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
• Heat Outlook
• Temperature Outlook Maps
• Precipitation Outlook Maps
• Drought Outlook 
• Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
• Dry Spells Outlook and
• The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter

Summary for the upcoming 3-month period, October to December: “This transition between wet and dry season is forecast to feature frequent wet days, excessive rainfall and above-average tropical cyclone activity across the Caribbean region, as exacerbated by La Niña. This results in frequent disruptions of outdoor activities and rising water levels in soils, rivers and reservoirs. The potential for floods and cascading hazards is forecast to be extremely high across the Lesser Antilles, high elsewhere across the Caribbean Islands and in Belize, and moderate in the coastal Guianas (where the chance of excessive rainfall increases during November). In October, high humidity and temperatures at times may increase heat stress south of Guadeloupe.”