The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for May to July 2023 are now available. These include:
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Heat Outlook
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Drought Outlook
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
Summary for the upcoming 3-month period, May to July 2023: “The Pacific may transition into El Niño conditions while ocean temperatures around the Caribbean are expected to increase to above-average. This makes it difficult to confidently forecast rainfall as the Caribbean transitions into the wet season. Nevertheless, long-term drought concerns are rising in Cuba, while the effects of frequent dry spells across the Islands and Belize will likely continue through May or June, with a peak in wild fire potential and Saharan dust intrusions. Recurring heatwaves are possible in the Islands, but unlikely in the Leeward Islands. By contrast, the potential for flooding, flash floods and cascading hazards will be moderate. Finally, tropical cyclones may develop as early as May.”