The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for July to September 2024 are now available. These include:
- Atlantic Season Hurricane Outlook
- Heat Outlook
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Drought Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
An excerpt summarises the climate conditions and related hazards for the upcoming 3-month period July to September 2024:
“Temperatures in the equatorial Pacific will likely continue to progressively cool into a La Niña while (near-)record warm Tropical North Atlantic Ocean are set to continue.
Therefore, an intense peak of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, the Caribbean Wet Season and the Heat Season is expected.
This implies frequent and intense
(i) episodes of oppressive humid heat;
(ii) tropical cyclones and severe weather.
The latter results in high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts.
Should the intrusion of dry Saharan air (which usually peak through July) be more frequent than usual, storm and shower activity may be more erratic, while heat will remain in record territory, in particular in the Lesser Antilles.”