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Climate Center

CariCOF Caribbean Climate Outlooks: July 2023

July 1, 2023  · 

The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for July to September 2023 are now available. These include:

Summary for the upcoming 3-month period, July to September 2023: “Tropical Pacific and Atlantic ocean temperatures should remain well above average, steadily amplifying heat stress in the Caribbean by increasing temperatures, humidity and heatwave frequency. However, the coinciding unusually warm Pacific and Atlantic have opposing effects on Caribbean rainfall and hurricane season activity. For now, the record-warm Atlantic appears to dominate, resulting in little concern for drought due to copious wet season rains. The potential for flooding, flash floods and cascading hazards increases from moderate to high in August. By contrast, the Guianas will potentially be excessively wet in July, with predominantly drier and hotter weather from mid-August.”

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