CariCOF Caribbean Climate Outlooks: December 2022

The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for December 2022 to February 2023 are now available. These include:

• Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
• Heat Outlook
• Temperature Outlook Maps
• Precipitation Outlook Maps
• Drought Outlook 
• Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
• Dry Spells Outlook and
• The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter

Summary for the upcoming 3-month period, December 2022 to February 2023: “This first half of the Caribbean dry season is forecast to feature a slower than usual decrease in rainfall, wet days, wet spells, but increase in dry spells. Meanwhile, the likelihood of excessive rainfall with resulting moderate potential for flash floods and cascading hazards in the Antilles — especially the southernmost islands — and Belize in December. In contrast, drought concerns arise in Cuba and The Bahamas, which may end up even drier than usual. In the Guianas, the secondary wet season comes with a high likelihood of excessive rainfall, resulting in high flood potential, rising water levels in soils, rivers and reservoirs through February. No heat discomfort is expected in this season.”