The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for August to October 2023 are now available. These include:
- 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlooks
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Heat Outlook
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Drought Outlook
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
Summary for the upcoming 3-month period, August to October 2023: “Tropical Pacific and Atlantic ocean temperatures should remain well above average, continuing to amplify heat stress in the Caribbean by increasing temperatures, humidity and heatwave frequency to rival the warmest conditions on record (2010, 2016 and 2020). However, the coinciding unusually warm Pacific and Atlantic have opposing effects on Caribbean rainfall and hurricane season activity. For now, the record-warm Atlantic appears predominant in much of the islands, resulting in limited drought concern, whereas the potential for flooding, flash floods and cascading hazards will be high due to copious rains. By contrast, the Guianas will be predominantly drier and hotter from mid-August.”