The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for April to June 2024 are now available. These include:
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Drought Outlook
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
Summary for the upcoming 3-month period, April to June 2024: “A waning El Niño event in the Pacific and record-warm Tropical North Atlantic temperatures are forecast. Therefore, the region is set to enter an intense Heat Season with recurrent heatwaves, as well as an early start to an intense wet season. Shower intensity and frequency are likely to sharply rise, resulting in high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts in most places, except the ABC Islands. Unknown is how frequent incursions of dry, dust-laden Saharan air into the Caribbean will be. If very frequent, the period will further be characterised by erratic shower activity — interspersed with frequent dry spells — and further buildup of ongoing drought, record-breaking heat and wildfire potential.”