Robert L. Bradshaw International Airport
St. Kitts Meteorological Services
St. Christopher Air & Sea Port Authority
P.O. Box 963
Basseterre
St. Kitts
Tel: 869 465 2749 Tele- fax: 869 465 9122
TROPICAL ADVISORY #5 TS DORIAN
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
5:30 PM ECT MON, AUG 26, 2019
THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
AT 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND MARTINIQUE RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 58.8 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MI…95 KM SE OF BARBADOS AND 165 MI…270 KM ESE OF ST. LUCIA… OR ABOUT 410 MILES OR 660 KM SE OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.
DORIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF DORIAN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AND MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON TUESDAY. DORIAN IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR OR SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO ON WEDNESDAY AND APPROACH EASTERN HISPANIOLA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND DORIAN COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS ON TUESDAY, AND IT IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT MOVES NEAR PUERTO RICO AND EASTERN HISPANIOLA.
SATELLITE-DERIVED SURFACE WIND DATA INDICATE THAT DORIAN REMAINS A COMPACT TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB (29.59 INCHES).
BASED ON THE LATEST INFORMATION TROPICAL STORM DORIAN IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE ON ITS JOURNEY THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
RESIDENTS IN ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA, ST. KITTS & NEVIS AND THE REST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE NOT IN THE ALL CLEAR AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN.
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