Robert L. Bradshaw International Airport
St. Kitts Meteorological Services
St. Christopher Air & Sea Port Authority
P.O. Box 963
Basseterre
St. Kitts
Tel: 869 465 2749 Tele- fax: 869 465 9122
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
2:45 PM ECT FRIDAY 30th AUGUST 2024
…TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD AFFECT THE AREA…BE AWARE…
The Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service is monitoring the progress of a Tropical wave, over the central tropical North Atlantic. The system could develop further and affect the leeward islands and the British Virgin Islands early next week.
The tropical wave could become tropical disturbance AL99 in days, and perhaps go on to become a tropical depression or tropical storm before reaching the Caribbean. Currently, the system poses little to no threat to the Leeward Islands and the British Virgin Islands, but this could change. The risk of wind, rainfall or seas is low; notwithstanding, be aware and stay prepared for the hurricane season.
At 2 pm ECT or 1800 UTC, the tropical wave axis was located about 1155 miles east of the Leeward Islands and moving west at around 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds are less than 25 mph with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast and a tropical depression could form by early next week on the approach of the Caribbean. There is a near-zero percent chance of formation in 48 hours and a 40 percent chance of formation in seven days.
No specific hazard is being forecast currently as the system is still very far away with lots of room for several scenarios to play out. Also, the uncertainties are quite high for what will happen. Please note that no Alerts, Watches or Warnings are in effect for the area; however, this could change in 48 hours.
Be aware! Residents should monitor this system closely and ensure their Hurricane season plans are prepared.
The next update will be around 3 pm tomorrow, or sooner if required.
FORECASTER DALE DESTIN
Antigua Barbuda Met Services