Robert L. Bradshaw International Airport
St. Kitts Meteorological Services
St. Christopher Air & Sea Port Authority
P.O. Box 963
Basseterre
St. Kitts
Tel: 869 465 2749 Tele- fax: 869 465 9122
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
3:30 PM ECT SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 8, 2024
TROPICAL CYCLONE LIKELY TO FORM AND BE OF CONCERN FOR THE AREA…BE AWARE…
THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE IS MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF A TROPICAL WAVE, WHICH HAS BEEN DESIGNATED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL92. THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND COULD APPROACH THE AREA AROUND NEXT WEEKEND.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL92 IS MORE LIKELY THAN NOT TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN 48 HOURS BUT REMAINS NEAR STATIONARY UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. AT THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM POSES LITTLE OR NO THREAT TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE RISK IS LOW; HENCE, BE AWARE AND REMAIN PREPARED FOR THE REST OF THE HURRICANE SEASON.
AT 2 PM ECT OR 1800 UTC, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL92 WAS CENTRED ABOUT 1340 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. MOVEMENT TO THE WEST AT 10 MPH IS FORECAST FROM THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LESS THAN 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST; THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN 48 HOURS AND A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF FORMATION IN SEVEN DAYS.
PLEASE NOTE THAT THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA; THUS, THERE ARE NO HAZARDS PROJECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM, AT THIS TIME.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR, BE AWARE AND REMAIN PREPARED FOR THE HURRICANE SEASON.
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 3 PM TOMORROW, OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.
FORECASTER DALE DESTIN