The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for March to May 2023 are now available. These include:
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Drought Outlook
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
Summary for the upcoming 3-month period, March to May 2023: “The Pacific is transitioning into ENSO neutral — or possibly even El Niño conditions — and ocean temperatures around the Caribbean are expected to be close to average. This makes it difficult to forecast unusual climate conditions in the Caribbean this late dry season. However, long-term drought concerns are rising in Cuba and the frequency of short dry spells will peak across the Greater and Lesser Antilles, increasing wild-fire potential and the likelihood of heatwaves in Belize, Cuba, Jamaica and Trinidad. By contrast, the potential for flooding, flash floods and cascading hazards will be slight for most areas in March but — with the exception of the ABC Islands — will increase to moderate or high into May.”