Robert L. Bradshaw International Airport
St. Kitts Meteorological Services
St. Christopher Air & Sea Port Authority
P.O. Box 963
Basseterre
St. Kitts
Tel: 869 465 2749 Tele- fax: 869 465 9122
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
8:00 AM ECT SAT, SEP 29, 2024
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO HAS BECOME TROPICAL STORM BERYL…
THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CONTINUES TO ACTIVELY FOLLOW THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL, WHICH DEVELOPED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO. THE SYSTEM IS STILL FAR AWAY BUT IS LIKELY TO PASS SOUTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AS A HURRICANE AROUND MONDAY.
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT TROPICAL STORM BERYL WILL DEVELOP INTO A HURRICANE, WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE IS ALSO HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK A RELATIVELY SAFE DISTANCE AWAY TO THE SOUTH OF THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN, THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AROUND MONDAY. HENCE, THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO SUGGESTS THAT TROPICAL STORM BERYL POSES LITTLE THREAT TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. NEVERTHELESS, IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT WE ARE NOT IN THE CLEAR. TO ENSURE YOUR SAFETY, HAVE YOUR HURRICANE SEASON PLAN PREPARED. ADDITIONALLY, STAY ACTIVELY VIGILANT AND CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE.
AT 8 AM ECT OR 1200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1126 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST AT 21 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND BERYL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HURRICANE BY TOMORROW.
BASED ON THE FORECAST MODEL TRACKS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE AT THE NEAREST POINT TO THE AREA MONDAY AS A HURRICANE. THE HAZARDOUS WINDS WILL MORE LIKELY THAN NOT STAY CLEAR OF ANTIGUA AND THE REST OF THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN.
PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA; HOWEVER, A HIGH WIND ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED. FURTHER, MARINE ALERTS WILL BE REQUIRED.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR TROPICAL STORM BERYL AND ENSURE THAT THEY HAVE THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS PREPARED.
AN UPDATE WILL BE GIVEN AROUND 8 PM TONIGHT, OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.
FORECASTER DALE DESTIN