The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for August to October 2024 are now available. These include:
- Atlantic Season Hurricane Outlook
- Heat Outlook
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Drought Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
An excerpt summarises the climate conditions and related hazards for the upcoming 3-month period August to October 2024:
“Cooling temperatures in the equatorial Pacific will likely result in a progressive transition to La Niña while (near-)record warm Tropical North Atlantic Ocean are set to continue.
Therefore, an intense peak of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season and the Caribbean Wet Season and Heat Season.
This implies frequent and intense
(i) episodes of oppressive humid heat;
(ii) tropical cyclones and severe weather.
The latter results high to extremely high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts.
Should the intrusion of dry Saharan air (wich usually peak through early August) be more frequent than usual, storm and shower activity may be more erratic through mid-August, though intense in between episodes, while heat will remain in record territory.”