The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for April to June 2025 are now available. These include:
- Heat Outlook
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Drought Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
The following excerpt from CariCOF’s Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter summarizes the climate conditions and related hazards for the upcoming 3-month period April to June 2025:
“ENSO neutral conditions in the Pacific, combined with unusually warm waters around the Caribbean and temporarily cooler waters in the eastern Tropical North Atlantic imply:
(i) a Caribbean Heat Season with heatwaves occurring as early as April and gradually ramping up, but unlikely to match 2023 and 2024;
(ii) in April, high evaporation rates, frequent short dry spells and buildup of any ongoing drought increases wildfire potential;
(iii) except for the mostly dry ABC Islands, rainfall intensity and shower frequency should rise towards May (the Bahamas, Guianas and Greater Antilles) or June (Belize and the Lesser Antilles), resulting in high to extremely high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts.
Episodes of Saharan dust intrusion will likely be frequent; the more frequent these are, the more dryness and heat, and the more erratic the occurrence of severe weather.”