The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for July to September 2025 are now available. These include:
- Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
- Heat Outlook
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Drought Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
The following excerpt from CariCOF’s Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter summarizes the climate conditions and related hazards for the upcoming 3-month period July to September 2025:
“The forecast ENSO neutral conditions in the Pacific, a return to near-average sea surface temperatures in the Tropical North Atlantic, and persistent unusual warmth north of the Caribbean imply:
(i) recurrent excessive humid heat, culminating in heatwaves as the Caribbean Heat Season peaks in August and September;
(ii) rainfall intensity and shower frequency should rise towards September, resulting in high to extremely high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts;
(iii) increasing Atlantic Hurricane Season activity towards September and, potentially, also during July and August whenever intrusions of the dusty Saharan Air Layer are few around and east of the Caribbean. By contrast, Saharan dust episodes, combined with slackened winds, produce hot and humid spells with reduced air quality, all the while stifling intense shower and tropical cyclone activity.”