EXCERPT
The globe is on watch for an El Nino that will likely develop during the early part of the upcoming dry season, placing portions of the Caribbean on watch for potential drought conditions. There is greater concern that parts of the Lee-ward Islands, northern Bahamas, and the ABC Islands will likely experience short term drought-like conditions that can impact agricultural (particularly crop) activity and small streams by the end of February 2019. Long term drought that can impact groundwater and large rivers and reservoirs by the end of May 2019 is possible in many parts of the region, with greater concern in the vicinity of the western Caribbean islands, the ABC islands and Martinique…read or download complete bulletin below.