The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for February to April 2024 are now available. These include:
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Drought Outlook
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
Summary for the upcoming 3-month period, February to April 2024: “A waning El Niño event and unusually warm Tropical North Atlantic temperatures are forecast. Consequently, the transition out of the Cool and into the Heat Season in April should be warmer than usual. An intense peak of the Caribbean dry season — especially in the northwestern Caribbean — will, therefore, be enhanced by high evaporation rates, leading to continued drought in Puerto Rico and the northern Leeward Islands, a high frequency of short dry spells and wildfire potential building towards March. In April, rainfall intensity is set to sharply rise, with the potential for flooding, flash floods and cascading impacts rapidly becoming moderate westwards of Puerto Rico and high further east and south.”