The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for March to May 2026 are now available. These include:
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Drought Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
The following excerpt from CariCOF’s Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter summarizes the climate conditions and related hazards for the upcoming 3-month period March to May 2026:
The second half of the Caribbean Dry Season includes its annual peak in March, but also the transition out of the Cool and into the Heat Season. Continued, unusual warmth in the Tropical North Atlantic Ocean implies:
(i) the occurrence severe weather activity as soon as April in southern Belize, the Guianas, the Greater Antilles and mountainous areas of the Lesser Antilles, implying high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts from April or May onwards;
(ii) short dry spells peak in frequency, particularly in the ABC Islands and Lesser Antilles;
(iii) episodes of heat discomfort may appear as soon as March in inland portions of Belize, the Guianas and Trinidad, or April elsewhere, and become more widespread by May;
(iv) rainfall totals unlikely to mitigate long-term drought impacts in the ABC Islands, St. Kitts & Nevis and the Windward Islands, with imminent long-term drought forecasted for the end of May in Grenada.