The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for December 2025 to February 2026 are now available. These include:
- Heat Outlook
- Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
- Temperature Outlook Maps
- Precipitation Outlook Maps
- Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
- Drought Outlook
- Dry Spells Outlook and
- The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter
The following excerpt from CariCOF’s Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter summarizes the climate conditions and related hazards for the upcoming 3-month period December 2025 to February 2026:
The period marks the first half of the Dry Season in the Caribbean Islands and Belize, the transition from the secondary Wet Season into the Short Dry Season in the northeastern two-thirds of the Guianas in February, and a continuation of the long Dry Season in the southwestern third of the Guianas. It also marks the Cool Season throughout the Caribbean. Unusually warm Tropical North Atlantic Ocean temperatures imply:
(i) increased severe weather activity through December (January in the Guianas), resulting in high to extremely high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts;
(ii) short dry spells are set to increase in frequency, particularly in the northwest of the region;
(iii) milder, more comfortable temperatures throughout this Cool Season;
(iv) continuation of drought impacts by the end of February in the Windward Islands and potential development of drought in southwest Belize and Grand Cayman.